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    Home»Nigeria News»Experts disagree as presidency says inflation’ll drop to single digit
    Nigeria News

    Experts disagree as presidency says inflation’ll drop to single digit

    NigeriaNewzBy NigeriaNewzSeptember 17, 2025No Comments9 Mins Read
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    …FG’s inflation promise, faux —PDP

    …Calls for jobs, energy, steady Naira

    •FG can solely obtain single-digit inflation by way of knowledge manipulation —Onyekpere

    •Financial fundamentals aren’t favorable to attain single digit inflation —Prof. Nwokoma

    •Single-digit inflation aspiration tall order —CPPE

    By Peter Egwuatu, Assistant Enterprise Editor, Luminous Jannamike, Gabriel Ewepu, Rosemary Iwunze, Elizabeth Adegbesan

    THE Presidency has assured Nigerians that the inflation charge within the nation is heading in direction of a single digit and would translate to raised residing situations for the plenty.

    Particular Adviser to the President on Financial Issues, Tope Fasua, who gave the peace of mind, as visitor on Channels Tv’s The Morning Temporary yesterday, additionally stated the drop within the inflation charge has impacted on costs of meals gadgets, which have been starting to ease. The peace of mind adopted the headline inflation knowledge simply launched by the Nationwide Bureau of Statistics, NBS, which stated inflation charge eased to twenty.12 per cent in August 2025, in comparison with the July 2025 charge at 21.88 per cent.

    Fasua, who additionally reacted to former vp, Atiku Abubakar’s current declare that Nigerians have been dying from starvation every day, stated additional: “Former Vice President, Atiku Abubakar, merely made a political assertion which is predicted at the moment as a result of he’s attempting to see how he can wangle himself again to the presidency and I don’t touch upon political issues

    “He doesn’t need to commend the present authorities for the achievement, however the remainder of us simply want to stay with the black and white “A 20.12 inflation remains to be giant in lots of quarters as a result of what it says is that costs are nonetheless growing in some quarters, however not as they was. It’s rebasing. The rebasing got here in about six years after it must have been executed. Our concern needs to be that our statistics and knowledge needs to be rather more on level and frequent.

    “So the rebasing was executed, and it gave us the true image of the place we’re. So, for each emotional motive, someone believes that we must always nonetheless be round 30 per cent. Effectively, that’s their very own cup of tea. Crucial factor is that the rebasing was executed a number of months again, and what we’re seeing is then a constant drop in inflation.

    “Inflation doesn’t enhance endlessly, not in any nation. We have now Ghana subsequent to us, with inflation as much as 40 per cent. At present, their inflation is trending right down to a single digit. Nigeria’s inflation will get to a single digit as nicely; it’s a matter of time.

    “Pakistan’s financial system skilled inflation of as much as 40 per cent some two years in the past. At present, they’re battling deflation, which is even an even bigger difficulty as a result of when there isn’t a incentive for folks to supply extra items themselves, all the things goes down once more.”Nigeria’s inflation will definitely go to a single digit. In addition to, that’s not the one optimistic factor we are able to see.’’

    On the current appreciation of the naira to N1,400 area, together with the rise in crude oil costs on the worldwide market, Fasua stated: “Yesterday (Monday), the naira traded sooner or later, N1,497/$1. For the primary time in like eight months, we have now clocked the N1,400 area, and that’s outstanding.

    “If we take a look at why the inflation is decreasing, for anyone that cares to know, after all, crude is one among our key drivers of inflation. The alternate charge can be one other key driver. The alternate charge has stabilised, and it’s truly by way of market forces.

    ‘’The crude costs are additionally growing. A really revered supply I respect within the agriculture sector, instructed me that for the primary time in 26 years, this yr, we didn’t have the standard recourse round tomato costs hovering and shortages. Some farmers are even complaining that the federal government is now crashing meals costs to make it have an effect on their companies negatively.’’

    Reacting to the inflation projection of a single digit by Fasua, the Peoples Democratic Occasion (PDP) dismissed the federal authorities’s declare that inflation will quickly drop to a single digit, describing it as a false promise aimed toward deceiving Nigerians forward of the following normal elections. The PDP Deputy Nationwide Youth Chief, Timothy Osadolor, instructed Vanguard in Abuja on Tuesday that Fasua’s place was unrealistic and deceptive, given Nigeria’s present financial realities.

    He insisted there was no pathway to decreasing inflation with out addressing elementary points equivalent to unreliable energy provide, mass unemployment, and the unstable alternate charge.

    In accordance with Osadolor, the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) administration

    “Frequent sense tells us that for an financial system to develop there have to be manufacturing. Frequent sense tells us that for an financial system to develop there have to be energy to energy the industries. Frequent sense tells us that for an financial system to develop, for inflation charges to go down, there have to be job creation. Frequent sense tells us that for an financial system or a nation to develop, there have to be job safety and there have to be web stability,” he defined.

    Osadolor criticised the federal government’s efficiency on energy era, mentioning that Kainji Dam and different amenities have repeatedly collapsed, leaving Nigeria unable to persistently generate even 5,000 megawatts (MW).

    “Kainji Dam is but to achieve 5,000 MW nationwide capability on the nationwide grid. For an industrial nation, the minimal we needs to be speaking about needs to be like 40,000 or 50,000 MW to place electrical energy within the 700s of the 4 native grids of Nigeria.

    “Now, this authorities can not even maintain the all-time excessive of 6,000 and seven,000 MW beneath Jonathan and even beneath Buhari. We discovered that at 5,000 MW, this authorities has by no means peaked. So, the place are the industries and the place are the roles that they’ve created that can deliver down inflation charges?” he requested.

    FG can solely obtain single-digit inflation by way of knowledge manipulation – Eze Onyekpere

    Reacting as nicely, the Government Director of the Centre for Social Justice, Barrister Eze Onyekpere, dismissed the federal authorities’s declare that Nigeria’s inflation charge will quickly drop to single digits, describing it as unrealistic except statistical figures are intentionally manipulated.

    “The one method they’ll obtain single-digit inflation is by altering the methodology of calculation, similar to they did with the unemployment report,” Onyekpere stated. “The discount, the so-called deceleration of inflation we have now now, is extra a matter of paperwork, altering the best way you calculate it.

    Talking on the event as nicely, Registrar/Chief Government Officer of the Chattered Insurance coverage Institute of Nigeria, CIIN, Mrs. Abimbola Tiamiyu stated that the one digit inflation goal may not be achievable quickly because the nation is just not producing a lot.

    She stated: “Sincerely, I feel that it’s not going to be simple to attain single digit inflation. The reason being as a result of we’re not producing something. Possibly after we begin producing and we have now a strong manufacturing sector, we may obtain single digit inflation”.

    Financial fundamentals aren’t favorable to attain single digit inflation- Prof. Nwokoma

    Reacting as nicely, Professor Ndubisi Nwokoma, Head Division of Economics, College of Lagos, stated: “Fasau can not declare that inflation has gone down from over 30 %, now he’s speaking of single digits. That’s completely a political assertion as a result of when you check out the basics, what’s driving inflation and then you definately wish to see; is it a financial phenomenon or price push, provide chain disruptions, and what are the driving forces of inflation?

    Single-digit inflation aspiration tall order – CPPE

    In one other response, the Government Director, Centre for Promotion of Personal Enterprises, CPPE, Dr Muda Yusuf, asserted that the aspiration and goal by the federal government is seen as a “tall order.”

    Yusuf stated: “The one-digit inflation aspiration is a tall order, is a tall order given what the present financial state of affairs is, however the actuality is that we have now seen an excellent pattern of constant deceleration within the inflation charge, , however whether or not that may come to single-digit by the top of the yr, I feel that will likely be troublesome, as a result of proper now we’re speaking concerning the final headline inflation for August is over 20.12 per cent.”

    He additionally queried, “So how do you now transfer from that 20.12 per cent to lower than 10 per cent by the top of the yr?

    “it’s good to be aspirational, however it’s a tall order so far as I’m involved.

    It’s potential with strict coverage implementation – POFAN President

    The Nationwide President, Potato Farmers Affiliation of Nigeria, POFAN, Chief Daniel Okafor, asserted that it’s potential to attain single digits inflation charge if precedence is given to coverage implementation.

    Okafor stated: “It’s potential and accessible if all goes nicely with the insurance policies customary of this current administration. If they’ll implement half of the coverage.

    “My downside on this nation is just not coverage or human assets it’s only implementation is the important thing to success.”

    Reacting as nicely, David Adonri, analyst and Vice Government Chairman at Highcap Securities, stated “Quickly is a non particular time period. It’s interpretation relies on the consumer’s context. Maybe, it’s for propaganda and never a declare that needs to be taken critically. Barring any manipulation of statistics to swimsuit this function, the chance of reaching a single-digit inflation charge quickly in Nigeria may be very distant. Rural Insecurity which is the arrowhead of the propellants of inflation, is getting worse. Many different price components aren’t decelerating.

    The publish Experts disagree as presidency says inflation’ll drop to single digit appeared first on Vanguard News.



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