The a lot anticipated 2027 basic election is shaping as much as be one of the difficult contests for the opposition, as President Bola Tinubu-led All Progressives Congress, APC, continues to achieve dominance throughout key states.
Whereas the Tinubu-led APC is busy capturing the dynamic construction of extra populated areas, the opposition, however, is struggling to unite behind a single candidate, with inside divisions and defections weakening their probabilities.
Though the African Democratic Congress, ADC, a celebration housing the coalition of opposition leaders, was shaped to problem Tinubu’s re-election bid, the get together is at present dealing with vital hurdles, particularly as supporters of presidential aspirants proceed to conflict over who ought to fly the get together’s ticket.
Equally, the comparatively never-ending disaster rocking some political events together with the Peoples Democratic Celebration, PDP, and the Labour Celebration, has continued to pave the way in which for defection of key get together stalwarts into the ruling get together.
Steady defection
Since late 2025 until date, the rank of opposition events has continued to deplete following the choice of a number of state governors to maneuver into the ruling get together alongside lawmakers and native authorities chairmen.
DAILY POST reviews that as at Might 2023 when President Tinubu’s administration was inaugurated, the ruling get together was controlling about 21 states whereas the opposition had 15.
Nonetheless, at present, the ruling get together now has 29 governors, leaving the opposition with simply seven states.
Whereas the PDP remains to be controlling 5 states, the All Progressives Grand Alliance, APGA, Labour Celebration, LP and Accord Celebration, AP, have one every.
Mass defection in Kano
Kano has all the time been a really essential state in Nigerian elections as it’s sometimes called Nigeria’s “political nerve centre”.
This isn’t unconnected to its electoral panorama that has practically six million registered voters who’re ever prepared to vary the sport with their Everlasting Voters Playing cards, PVCs.
DAILY POST reviews that each the opposition and the ruling get together have been battling for the state’s political construction till on Friday when the state governor, Abba Yusuf dumped the New Nigerian Peoples Celebration, NNPP for APC.
Within the 2023 election, out of the 5,921,370 registered voters, NNPP with Rabiu Kwankwaso as its flagbearer, overwhelmingly defeated Tinubu with 997,279 votes, whereas the APC managed to attain 517,341 votes.
Though some political analysts consider that with Governor Abba Yusuf’s defection to the APC, President Tinubu could garner bigger votes in 2027, others, nonetheless, consider that Kwankwaso’s cult-like supporters will flush APC out of the state.
There are indications that Kwankwaso may additionally align with the coalition of opposition leaders forward of the election.
Crack in opposition
There’s a brewing inside disaster throughout the ADC that might presumably have destructive impacts on the opposition’s probabilities within the 2027 elections.
DAILY POST reviews that ADC, a celebration adopted by the coalition of opposition figures, is at present dealing with disagreements amongst its outstanding members, together with former Vice President, Atiku Abubakar, former governor of Anambra State, Peter Obi, and former Rivers State Governor, Rotimi Amaechi, over who ought to have the get together’s presidential ticket.
Supporters of the aspirants are pushing for his or her most well-liked candidates, with some, significantly Obi’s supporters, advocating that the ticket ought to be zoned to the South.
A faction of the get together led by Nafiu Gombe can also be a menace to the success of the get together within the coming election.
In accordance with Enejo Micheal, a chieftain of the get together in Benue State, who spoke with DAILY POST on Saturday, “President Tinubu is answerable for the disaster in all of the opposition events”.
He mentioned the administration of Tinubu “intentionally weakened the opposition in order that members will defect to the ruling get together”.
“They’ve created a faction inside ADC too. You will note what is going to occur if an individual like Peter Obi that they concern a lot wins the ADC ticket later this yr.
“Tinubu and his individuals will sponsor these claiming to be the actual proprietor of ADC and afterwards, they are going to search for how the courtroom will disqualify our candidate.
“However irrespective of the technique, I don’t see Tinubu profitable the election subsequent yr. There isn’t any disaster in ADC that may’t be dealt with. Folks like David Mark are very skilled politicians, they know the sport.
“I discover that Obidients and supporters of Atiku have been clashing on social media, no want for that. No one goes to make use of {dollars} to purchase delegates in ADC. We’re interesting to leaders to undertake direct major and I wager you, Obi will win the ticket”, he mentioned.
